"Moscow is absorbed by the war in Ukraine and Tehran by an explosive regional situation that has weakened its allies, first and foremost Hezbollah in Lebanon, after two months of war with Israel. The rebels have chosen the "ideal" moment to launch their offensive, believes Hans-Jakob Schindler, of the think tank Counter-Extremism Project (CEP), as Russia, Iran, and Hezbollah "have other problems to solve at the moment."”