WAR ON THE ROCKS: HOW WILL JIHADIST STRATEGY EVOLVE AS THE ISLAMIC STATE DECLINES?
Jihadists have long debated whether a centralized or decentralized organizational model is optimal. This debate extends also to terrorist attacks: Is it more effective when they are conceptualized and planned by a central organization, or are “lone wolf” attackers a greater threat? Anwar al-Awlaki, the al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) official and propagandist, called for individual attacks even as AQAP organized centrally-directed terrorist plots. Awlaki seemingly received a greater response to his calls for lone wolf attacks than any other al-Qaeda leader. According to the Counter Extremism Project, Awlaki has influenced as many as 88 known extremists in the United States and Europe.
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